We aren’t going to tell you what yesterday’s primary election means. We’re happy to leave that analysis to the political scientists, the ever-insightful columnists, and the talk show hosts who will not be reluctant to share their opinions.
In the Missourinet newsroom last night we had some questions.
First, how much will the Blunt-Carnahan race for the U. S. Senate involve stoking resentment against Congress, of which Roy Blunt is a part, versus stoking resentment against the Obama administration’s policies that could be a burden to Democrats such as Carnahan? This is kind of a no-brainer, really. Their campaigns already been talking trash about one another along these lines.
Second, the 71% approval of Proposition C invites speculative evaluation. Is it a gauge of general dissatisfaction with Obama administration policies or just a lack of enthusiasm for the complicated federal healthcare program enacted by Congress in March? Does it tell Democrats they have an uphill battle for November in any race that might have Obama coattails?
Third. Chuck Purgason finished with 13% of the vote in the Republican primary for U. S. Senate. Does that tell us anything of the Tea Party strength in Missouri? Chuck said early on that he was Tea Party before Tea Party was cool. Although the Tea Party groups say they do not endorse candidates, do they represent a baseline of some kind for the conservative side of the ballot? The Tea Party groups made a pretty big deal of not endorsing Roy Blunt in the primary. Will Tea Partiers now support a candidate their groups criticized in the primary? Will the Tea Partiers find both candidates unacceptable? Should Libertarians go courting?
We have ninety days to try to sort out these mysteries of the political universe. Only ninety days.